
Photo: Chrisitan Science Monitor
I have a history of making strange votes in presidential elections. John Anderson and Jesse Jackson, I am looking at you. But once I choose, I defend my choice. Thinking deeply about the 2020 election, I have decided I fucked up… badly. I voted for Biden. What is clear to me now is that a second Trump term in 2020 would have been the best thing for America.
At the end of Trump’s first term, we just wanted it all to stop. There, in his basement, staring at screens, was a white-haired man who looked like the grandpa so many of us desired. We wanted the daily barrage of stupidity to let go its grip on America’s soul. We ignored his age and got behind Grandpa Joe. For one term, we would ignore the obvious and embrace sanity. Boy, did we screw up.
Indulge me. What follows is the counter-factual, a world where Donald Trump was reelected in 2020 and what that could have meant for us.
Most important is the long list of things that would not have happened if Trump had won clearly and decisively. There would have been no claim that the election was stolen, and the January 6 insurrection would not have happened. This alone would have been a boon to our election integrity. Try it. Erase January 6th and see what happens to your world. No second impeachment. No Mar a Lago stolen documents case. Those events which enraged and unified the MAGA base would not exist. The great victimization narrative would be gone. And, the banal toady, Mike Pence would have remained vice president. So much for the rise of JD Vance and Marco Rubio. Poof, they stay in the Senate.
Constitutionally, defending the 22nd Amendment to prevent a Trump third term would have been a slam dunk. Instead, we got a Supreme Court ruling creating presidential immunity. Of course, there would have been court cases, but in so many ways defending the 22nd is easier than defending birthright citizenship.
In a second term, Trump would have owned the covid driven economic trash. Do you have any doubt that he and the Republicans on the Hill would have completely messed up a recovery? How much fun for any Democrat in 2024 to hang that around their necks? He also would have had to implement his own agreement to end the war in Afghanistan. The Afghan army would have unraveled again, and my guess is that Trump would have reinforced Bagram Airforce base, creating a new quagmire.
Trump’s loss in 2020 created a new seedbed for institutionalizing MAGA plans and policies. Stephan Miller created a legal non-profit to design every immigration policy we are confronting today. Project 2025 would not exist, and if something like it appeared, it would be late to the game, created on the fly by the Heritage Foundation without the time to vet over 10,000 Trump loyalists to insert into every level of government. Trump’s 2020 cabinet, especially the Pentagon, often contained and opposed him internally. Even if he wanted to create a government more in his image in a second term, it would have been one battle after another and not an immediate clean sweep. And, BTW, with no need for the MAHA voters, there would be no need to elevate RFK and the anti science lunatics. Sound good?
How about no DOGE and Elon Musk? Do you think life would be better today with some regulatory agencies? How about an EPA or USAID? Of course, over 4 more years the MAGA loyalists would have taken over all the departments and agencies, but it is far harder to do that within the system and without the four years they had to create a blueprint for destroying government. And loyalty? Trump came in with the belief that his problems in the first term were all about not having loyalists everywhere. Would he feel the same if he had won in 2020? Or would he have convinced himself that winning alone was balm for any wounds the deep state had given him?
Now, let’s imagine the Democrats in a second Trump term. With no Biden to explode immigration for 2 years, Trump would just be back to building walls. Biden’s incompetence on the southern border gave Stephan Miller a monster to slay. Essentially, the Democrats would be left to build a robust primary process for 2024. Biden would have been demonstrably too old. Kamala, instead of being anointed, would have fallen victim to her political incompetence again, leaving the Democrats with a better candidate to face… who? Mike Pence. Now, there is a dream.
Much of the evil that has been unleashed on America and the world is because of Biden’s victory. We ended up with a more venomous Trump, obsessed with loyalty. MAGA used those 4 years out of power well. They created the authoritarian infrastructure, in waiting for Trump to unleash. They built a killer campaign operation for Trump, then let the Democrats, wedded to a befuddled narcissist Biden, hand them an inferior candidate. I have no faith that the Democrats could have done as well with 4 years to plan a comeback, but they could do themselves less harm out of power.
So, there it is. I didn’t see it then. But now it is clear. I fucked up and supported Biden in 2020. So, in part, this nightmare is on me.












